President Obama has opened a comfortable lead over challenger Mitt Romney following their parties’ respective conventions. Going into the conventions, most polls showed the candidates tied 48%-48%. However, a new CNN poll indicates Obama got a major convention bounce, opening a 52%-46% lead.
Essentially the Romney campaign gained little steam following the Republican National Convention, while plenty of undecided voters were swayed by the Democratic National Convention. The president’s job approval rating is also way up. At 52%, it hasn’t been higher since reaching 53% in May-June 2011, following the killing of Osama Bin Laden.
What’s this mean for the Romney campaign? Well, the GOP’s presidential hopes are far from over, given that Walter Mondale led Ronald Reagan following the 1984 DNC, only to get throttled in the election. Jimmy Carter also led Reagan following the 1980 DNC. And Michael Dukakis led George H.W. Bush by a whopping 17 points following the DNC, only to lose the election by nearly 8 points.
However, the conventions also used to be held in July. For Romney to overcome a 6-point deficit in a tightly contested race this late in the game, he needs a serious momentum shift.